TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18

Crucial

@antipodean said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@kiwipie said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

A few more players dropped off this week, is the season too long?

They're like pace setters in athletics; no chance of winning after the first two laps so they drop out, job done.

I'll fess up. Just got absorbed into some actual work and completely forgot until half way up a hill on my mountainbike on Saturday. Was way too late to do anything by then.

KiwiPie

First thing - no tipping required next weekend BUT there are still 3 more weeks to tip after the international window.

Wide range to scores this past weekend with the Hurricanes picked by more people than the Crusaders and nobody going for the Brumbies. A few crazies predicted the ongoing revival of the Aussie teams against NZ teams and we plummeted accordingly!

6/7 picked by Hydro, Virgil, Barbarian, Hooroo, Richie, FarNthHayden. Hydro and Broughie topped scoring with 56, both picking the highest and lowest scorers as Rebels and Sunwolves. You also scored 5 if you picked Canes or Sharks as low scorers.

We now have a tie at the top as Hydro caught up to Winger and these 2 lead by 23 from Hurrycanes with Virgil and Higgins close behind.

The play-offs have been decided and Hurricanes Black take out the Minor Premiership by 4 points from Barbarians. The top 4 all won so no change in positions.

Gunner 43 v 32 Pauncefote
Triple T 47 v 45 Winger
Mikedogz 36 v 46 Richie
Hurrycanes 44 v 47 Buck
Rico#1 36 v 56 Hydro11
Unite 31 v 28 Stockcar86
Virgil 52 v 46 Joan and Mary
FarNthHayden 41 v 26 Bones

Hydro11 56
Broughie 56
Virgil 52
Phooey 49
Cactus Jack 49
Triple T 47
Buck 47
Joan and Mary 46
Richie 46
Winger 45
Hurrycanes 44
Higgins 44
Plastered Peni 44
Dogmeat 44
Corkscrew 44
Barbarian 43
Hooroo 43
Gunner 43
Langakali 42
JK 42
Victor 42
Crucial 42
Paj 41
FarNthHayden 41
ACT Crusader 41
GT12 39
Rico#1 36
Mikedogz 36
Smudge 34
Antipodean 32
Sportboy 32
Pauncefote 32
Donsteppa 31
Skudderstep 31
Unite 31
DK 29
TaniwhaRugby 28
Stockcar86 28
No Quarter 28
Bruce Kenyon 27
Bones 26
Justin77 26
KP 24
Waynes World 24
Fiamacho 19
Tim 19
KiwiMurph 19
Handsome Ray 19

Virgil

More than happy for the comp to finish now !

taniwharugby

@kiwipie cant find tipping form for this week?

taniwharugby

@hooroo I'm embarrassed by my last few weeks tipping efforts, so I'm probably better off missing out anyway.

taniwharugby

@hooroo age old TSF tradition at play here bro!

Just force of habit as I am in another tipping comp I made my picks, so went searching for this one....

Virgil

I’d be happy if the comp finished now!

broughie

@virgil Heck no. I am making a run and I can sense the front runners sphincters are puckering up a bit under pressure. I believe there is some collusion between the leaders and the organizer of the comp by not having tipping this week. Sounds like the Ruskis are involved.

23 days later

antipodean

Done, just in time!

taniwharugby

at least not many woulda picked the Bumbies over the canes, not many woulda got the margin on Chiefs/'landers (or those like me who tipped thinking the 'landers were at 'home')

Be one of those rounds I think...

Virgil

Got a good feeling about this round of tipping..

KiwiPie

@taniwharugby Says the man who was the only one to top 40 points ....

KiwiPie

Everything is live on the Google Drive. Pretty much carnage for most tippers - most managed to pick only 2 or 3 results correctly. No time right now for a report ....

Play-offs Hurricanes Black 28 - 26 BOP Chiefs
Barbarians 25 - 30 Blues B

Plate Hurricanes Gold 24 - 22 South Island
Blues A 20 - 29 SunJags

Gunner 36 v 32 FarNthHayden
Triple T 28 v 18 Virgil
Richie 34 v 31 Unite
Buck 19 v 26 Hydro11

TaniwhaRugby 44
Phooey 39
Bruce Kenyon 37
Gunner 36
Richie 34
Smudge 34
Antipodean 33
Cactus Jack 33
Barbarian 32
Broughie 32
FarNthHayden 32
Hurrycanes 31
Sportboy 31
Unite 31
Bones 29
Pauncefote 29
Triple T 28
Hydro11 26
Langakali 26
Victor 26
No Quarter 26
Donsteppa 25
Mikedogz 25
GT12 24
Higgins 23
Stockcar86 22
Plastered Peni 21
Crucial 21
Corkscrew 21
JK 20
Rico#1 20
KP 19
Hooroo 19
Dogmeat 19
Buck 19
Virgil 18
Winger 17
Joan and Mary 17
DK 14
Waynes World 10
Paj 9
Skudderstep 9
Justin77 9
ACT Crusader 9
Fiamacho 9
Tim 9
KiwiMurph 9
Handsome Ray 9

taniwharugby

@kiwipie thats why it was one of those weeks!

KiwiPie

All updated now. With just one week left, the individual champion is still not decided. Hydro11 leads Winger by 11 points which is a handy lead but not conclusive. Broughie moved up to 3rd with the best score of the weekend but he's probably too far back to win.

Broughie and Unite were the only ones to pick 7/7, most of us stumbling on the Reds v Rebels, Bulls v Jags or Stormers v Sharks (or in some cases all 3).

In the team finals, the last weekend was the first leg, the second leg is this weekend. Canes Black beat Blues B 43-41 with a 49 from Hydro and solid scoring from everyone else. Blues B had Broughie and Dogmeat over 50 but were let down by a pair of 24s from Hayden and DK, crumbling under the pressure of a final.

In the 3rd/4th playoff, BOP Chiefs hold a one point lead over Barbarians. The Plate is no contest with Canes Gold already 15 ahead of the woeful SunJags and Blues A look like avoiding the wooden spoon against South Island despite only 3 of them turning up.

Finally the Cup Final is between Hydro 11 and Richie next weekend.

Hurricanes Black 43 - 41 Blues B
Barbarians 43 - 44 BOP Chiefs
Hurricanes Gold 41 - 26 SunJags
Blues A 34 - 29 South Island

Gunner 41 v 49 Hydro11
Triple T 26 v 32 Richie

Broughie 57
Dogmeat 51
TaniwhaRugby 50
Langakali 50
Unite 50
Hydro11 49
Hooroo 49
Winger 47
Plastered Peni 46
Waynes World 46
Virgil 43
Stockcar86 43
Paj 43
Sportboy 43
Justin77 43
No Quarter 42
Gunner 41
Donsteppa 41
Cactus Jack 41
Higgins 40
KP 39
Victor 39
Rico#1 39
Mikedogz 39
Corkscrew 39
Hurrycanes 38
Bruce Kenyon 36
Antipodean 36
Buck 36
Bones 34
ACT Crusader 33
Richie 32
Crucial 31
Pauncefote 31
Smudge 31
Triple T 26
Barbarian 24
Phooey 24
DK 24
FarNthHayden 24
Joan and Mary 22
JK 17
GT12 17
Skudderstep 17
Fiamacho 17
Tim 17
KiwiMurph 17
Handsome Ray 17

KiwiPie

Make sure you're in for the final week of tipping for the Super Rugby season.

Questions that will be answered this weekend.

Can Hydro11 hold onto his 11 point lead and win the title he win in 2016 having been runner-up last season? Or can 2015 champion Winger surge past?

Can Hurricanes Black hold onto their 2 point lead from the first leg against Blues B to win their first title since 2011 or can Blues B finally win their first title having never finished higher than 6th before?

Can Hydro beat Richie in the TSF Sequel Cup as well as take the title to become only the second tipper to win the league and a cup in the same season (after Justin77 in 2009)?

KiwiPie

As it's the last week I'll post an interim update

Top 10 overall
Hydro11 651
Winger 638
Broughie 629
Hurrycanes 619
Virgil 614
TaniwhaRugby 611
Higgins 609
KP 601
Bruce Kenyon 597
Langakali 596

Hurricanes Black 11 - 12 Blues B (Canes Black lead by 1)
Barbarians 11 - 14 BOP Chiefs (BOP Chiefs lead by 4)
Hurricanes Gold 11 - 10 SunJags (Canes Gold lead by 16)
Blues A 4 - 6 South Island (Blues A lead by 3)

Hydro11 12 v 7 Richie

KiwiPie

And the results are in and processed.

Canes Black take the title - well done team, Hydro11 and Hurrycanes the consistent performers to bring them the title. Unlucky Blues B, after 7 seasons of finishing 6th or lower.

Hydro11 takes the individual title but by just 3 points from Winger who had a late surge but it wasn't quite enough. Hydro has been 1st, 2nd, 1st in the past 3 seasons so maybe he knows what he's doing.

The Sequel Cup is shared by Hydro and Richie, they could not be separated with 39 each.

Everything on the website is updated

Final Hurricanes Black 44 - 38 Blues B
3rd Barbarians 46 - 41 BOP Chiefs
Plate Hurricanes Gold 42 - 39 SunJags
7th Blues A 27 - 33 South Island

Final Hurricanes Black 87 - 79 Blues B
3rd Barbarians 89 - 85 BOP Chiefs
Plate Hurricanes Gold 83 - 65 SunJags
7th Blues A 61 - 62 South Island

Hydro11 39 v 39 Richie

Broughie 51
Victor 51
Smudge 50
Langakali 49
Paj 49
Cactus Jack 49
Winger 47
Higgins 46
Plastered Peni 46
Buck 46
Virgil 44
Dogmeat 44
Stockcar86 44
Unite 44
Waynes World 44
No Quarter 44
Hooroo 42
Mikedogz 42
GT12 42
Hurrycanes 41
Triple T 41
Joan and Mary 41
Hydro11 39
KP 39
Barbarian 39
Richie 39
Corkscrew 39
Donsteppa 37
Sportboy 37
Bruce Kenyon 36
DK 32
TaniwhaRugby 31
Gunner 31
Pauncefote 31
ACT Crusader 31
FarNthHayden 30
Bones 29
Crucial 29
Rico#1 27
Phooey 25
Antipodean 20
JK 20
Justin77 20
Skudderstep 20
Fiamacho 20
Tim 20
KiwiMurph 20
Handsome Ray 20

Virgil

Clearly myself and @taniwharugby are the Ioane brothers of Blues A with the rest been a bit shit and not turning up

broughie

Congrats to Hydro. Blues B made a good fist of things this year. Way to go team mates. Thanks KiwiPie for all the work you do. Great job.

dogmeat

So next season should we rename them as Blues Not A or maybe True Blues given they seem to mirror Tana's Tossers?

taniwharugby

@virgil plus we also dont have a coach!

dK

Another top competition Kiwipie! Well done to Blues B for not sucking as bad as our beloved team!

dogmeat

and yes congrats to all the winners and thanks once again to KP for all his work - at the same time as his World Cup one too!!

As I'm sure KP's way too busy I have crunched some numbers for him.

Only eight tippers have stayed the course and entered all 13 Super Tipping comps - poor old KP disqualified himself for first two seasons.

Of these 4; Donsteppa, Crucial, Winger, Hooroo have won it while Paj, Joan and Mary, DK and myself have only mustered 6 top tens between us.

Of the 65 tipsters who have participated in at least five years Donsteppa is the most consistent - only twice finishing outside the top 15 for an average finish of 10th. If you drop his outlier of 42nd in 2010 Don's average drops to 7.4

However Hydro makes a strong argument for being our best tipster (despite having only competed in the last 4 editions). After an inauspicious 42nd placing in 2015 Hydro has gone 1st, 2nd, 1st to be our only repeat champion. Note - Donsteppa and Winger have NPC titles to go with their Super ones and TR has two NPC's.

Others to average better than 15th are: Winger, Langakali and Cactus Jack - all past winners.

In total 113 have tipped at least one season including three previous Champions Bullethole (2007), RugbyGal (2010) and Quo Vadis (2011) who no longer tip.

taniwharugby

@dogmeat NPC is waaaaayyyy harder to guess tip!

dogmeat

@taniwharugby maybe but the Sequel Cup is the toughest Comp of all. Only been competed for 8 times as it's so gruelling. Really sorts the men from the boys.

KiwiPie

@taniwharugby said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@dogmeat NPC is waaaaayyyy harder to guess tip!

Right now I'm enthusiastic to run an NPC tipping comp this season after taking a break last time. As long as people keep on tipping, I'll keep running it - may need to acquire some new blood when you scan down the names who are no longer involved.

KiwiPie

@dogmeat Awesome statting DM. Good to see there are still 8 ever presents but quite a few who have entered more than a few.

To be honest the BOP Chiefs were a bit disappointed in Donsteppa this season with his huge reputation. He needs to realise that it is performance that will keep him in the team and not just reputation. He's still better than Sportboy though ....

Donsteppa

@kiwipie said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@dogmeat Awesome statting DM. Good to see there are still 8 ever presents but quite a few who have entered more than a few.

To be honest the BOP Chiefs were a bit disappointed in Donsteppa this season with his huge reputation. He needs to realise that it is performance that will keep him in the team and not just reputation. He's still better than Sportboy though ....

It's curious to hear a captain talking about retention standards while Sportboy is a life member. 🙂