TSF NPC Tipping 2023

Results are in for the past weekend - a tough week for tipping with Plastered Peni, Justin77, Joan and Mary & BorderJB the only ones to reach 5/7 correct, most getting 4 but quite a few at 3/7. BorderJB picked both top and low scorer for the maximum of 46. Joan and Mary, Kirwan & Justin77 the only others above 40.

This makes Kirwan the new leader, just a point ahead of Donsteppa who scored only 29 with Dogmeat, Propsicle & Plastered Peni all sharing 5th after scores in the high 30s. Bay Imports in 24th is just 31 behind the leader so plenty to play for over the 2nd half of the competition.

Harbour-Auckland thrashed Counties-Waikato to go clear at the top as Wairarapa Bush & Hawke's Bay drew but all 3 of them look good to make the play-offs. Wellington hold 4th after a close win over BOP.

The Cup First Round saw no ties so the final 16 are decided.

Getting to watch about one full game in four weeks had to catch up with me eventually!

Well I have to say, trying to use brain instead of heart didn't bloody help did it> By christ a man wonders what he elarnt in his lifetime, I definetly knew that Wellingtn couldn't win last game of storm week and 2 RS games, same as Ta$man. It didn't stop there either.
Lucky I haven't got a cold, after weekend I convinced if I had a bogey up right nostril I would try and pick the left one!!!:beaming_face_with_smiling_eyes:
Have to say I loving all these surprise results though!

Time to tip https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Best of the weekend were Plastered Peni and Justin77 with 49, J77 the only one to 7/7 but only getting 1 margin. Plastered is now up to 3rd, 4 behind Donsteppa & Kirwan who share the lead with Waynes World and Winger making up the top 5.

With 2 rounds left in the round robin, Harbour-Auckland and Wairarapa Bush are confirmed in the semi-finals, it looks like 2 of Hawke's Bay, Wellington and BOP. Hawke's Bay and BOP meet next weekend along with the real life Battle of the Bays.

The Cup quarter-finalists are decided, Hydro11 plays Tim, it is Triple T v Plastered Peni, Joan and Mary v Dolamite and Justin77 against Higgins.

Even more than usual the entrails are confusing this week

@dogmeat Yep I'm even more clueless than previous weeks.

A few hours left to tip - don't forget https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Also if you're into Superbru, I copied the Fern NPC pool to a new pool for the World Cup

Join Fern World Cup, my World Cup Predictor league on Superbru! You can find my pool here:

or by downloading the Superbru app and searching for the pool with code:
turfjays

Updated at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/ and the form for next weekend is live.

Nobody picked all 7 results as a few were tough to call but Kirwan, Duluth, Victor, George33 and Hydro11 picked 6/7. Duluth the top score with 54 due to correct margin picks, Victor with 52.

Kirwan scored 48 to move 7 clear of Donsteppa at the top with 3 weeks to go. Duluth shoots up to 3rd, shared with Waynes World, Victor & Plastered Peni.

The Cup semi-finals are Hydro11 v Higgins and Plastered Peni v Dolamite.

With just 1 round to go in the round robin, Harbour-Auckland and Wairarapa Bush remain unbeaten having played out a draw and Wellington look safe in 3rd. BOP beat Hawke's Bay by a point to keep their slim hopes of the top 4 alive.

@Duluth will never catch me!

Time to tip everyone. Getting to the pointy end of the season https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Results are in - https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Not an easy week to pick all of the results but somehow Paj picked 7/7 being the only one to have Waikato beating Auckland and even nailing the margin. Inspired picking or made a mistake on that game? Who knows! 56 for Paj but beaten by Bay Imports with 64, getting 4 margin picks and getting both category picks. Higgins also topped 50 to stay in touch with the leaders.

Kirwan leads by 6 with 2 rounds to go, his category picks saved him and he leads from Plastered Peni, a point ahead of Victor with Donsteppa now back in 4th level with Duluth.

The Cup final will be between Higgins and Plastered Peni to be played over the next 2 rounds, best aggregate score wins.

Waiarapa Bush and Harbour-Auckland go through the regular season unbeaten but the Bush take the minor premiership by scoring 2 more points during the season. Hawke's Bay take 3rd and Wellington hang on for 4th, both up against it to make the final.

It’s getting harder to pick without thinking, I’m liking winning too much.

Penultimate weekend for TSF Tipping comp - get busy https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Finally KIrwan's "pick without thinking" strategy was dashed on the rocks in what could be the pivotal weekend for the competition. The 3 games that weren't blowouts had quite a few people going for Northland, Ta$man and Auckland and those people have dropped down the table rapidly. Dolamite, Laurence, Paj, Joan & Mary and Unite all picked 7 from 7 and top score was 57 for Dolamite and Winger who picked 6/7 but had 5 margin calls. At the other end of the scale, Duluth had 24, Kirwan 26 & Higgins & Plastered Peni 33.

All of which means it is all change at the top with Victor now leading by 4 from Donsteppa who is 4 clear of Waynes World. It is 2 back to Winger and 2 more to Dolamite. Bayimports is up to 6th after 2 great weeks. Plastered Peni dropped 5 places, Kirwan from 1st to 8th, Higgins down to 10th and Duluth from 4th to 13th.

All to play for on the final weekend with a few unpredictable games coming up.

In the teams comp, the top 2 on the ladder - unbeaten all season - crashed out at the semi-final stage with wins for Wellington and Hawke's Bay meaning they will contest the final next weekend. Winger, Laurence & Hydro11 all topped 50 while Hawke's Bay were grateful to Paj, kiwimatrix and Stockcar86 but solid scoring.

The Cup final is a low scoring affair with Higgins & Plastered Peni tied on 33-33 after the first leg.

Seven places? What the actual fuck, lol

I doubled down on less thought this week.

Last round of tipping don't forget https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Aiming for some live updates as it is the final week. Nobody at all tipped Northland to win, not even the Northland fans so no change at the top. If you're @sportboy @mikedogz @frugby or @hydro11 and you have forgotten to tip, then tip right now as you won't be behind everyone else.

@KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2023:

Nobody at all tipped Northland to win, not even the Northland fans so no change at the top.

They didn’t win? Looks like a couple of people got the correct Auckland margin

@Duluth Yes I realised that when I listened to the sport news - I checked on a live scoring website last night and it had it to Northland at full time!

So let's try that again, after that narrow win to Auckland it was 10 points to Richie & Mikey07. Current top 10

Victor 374
Donsteppa 372
Waynes World 366
Dolamite 364
Winger 364
BayImports 363
Plastered Peni 361
Kirwan 358
Laurence 354
Tim 351
Higgins 351

Team Final
Wellington 5 - 6 Hawke's Bay

TSF Cup Final

Higgins 38 v 40 Plastered Peni

Update after the 2 upsets. They weren't upsets for Paj who has 3/3 and 27 points.

Victor 9 378
Donsteppa 11 376
BayImports 16 372
Plastered Peni 17 371
Waynes World 7 368
Winger 7 366
Dolamite 7 364
Tim 17 361
Kirwan 7 360
Laurence 9 356

Team Final
Wellington 8 - 12 Hawke's Bay

TSF Cup Final

Higgins 42 v 50 Plastered Peni

I think I am finishing the season by picking everything wrong

Well what a drama filled final weekend that was - and very hard to score points in the tipping comp. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

And the winner is ..... @bayimports - Out of the top 20 with 3 weeks left, he picked 4/7 and scraped to 31 in the final week to rise from 6th to 1st and pick Victor by 4 points. The key was picking Manawatū as low scorers which was an inspired choice and the 5 points clinched the victory. 5/7 for @taniwharugby and for @Paj with Paj top scoring with 39 - also a meteoric rise for him over the last 3 weeks to finish in the top 20 after being around the foot of the table. Only 1/7 for @Stockcar86 and a season low of 9 points. Plenty of us on 12 and 14 after picking 2/7.

Victor came 2nd and @Donsteppa and Plastered Peni shared 3rd place and a spot on the podium. Filling out the top 10 were @Dolamite in 5th ahead of @Waynes-World with Laurence and @Winger sharing 7th, @Kirwan 9th and @Kruse 10th.

In the final of the teams competition, Hawke's Bay and Wellington ended 19-19 but HB won on total points by 96 points to 93. Wairarapa Bush and Harbour-Auckland was also 19-19 with Bush winning 3rd place. Northland took 5th and South Island 7th leaving Counties-Waikato with the wooden spoon.

Finally Plastered Peni beat Higgins 60-47 to win the TSF Cup.

Thanks to all who played the whole season and never forgot to tip. See you all on 23rd February 2024 for week 1 of TSF Super Tipping.

Thanks as always @KiwiPie

Bloody hell Lose one game all season and Harbour Auckland still only finish 4th.

Thanks as always @KiwiPie .

@dogmeat said in TSF NPC Tipping 2023:

Bloody hell Lose one game all season and Harbour Auckland still only finish 4th.

Crumbled at the business end of the season. Kirwan & Duluth mainly responsible!

@KiwiPie said in TSF NPC Tipping 2023:

Well what a drama filled final weekend that was - and very hard to score points in the tipping comp. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/
In the final of the teams competition, Hawke's Bay and Wellington ended 19-19 but HB won on total points by 96 points to 93.

:victory_hand_dark_skin_tone:
Although I am certain Captain @paj is 100% trustworthy in light of other events it might be wise for you to keep hold of the trophy to ensure it's safe keeping in the meantime as I cannot be sure the same applies to at least one other member of his team

Finally Plastered Peni beat Higgins 60-47 to win the TSF Cup.

:anguished_face: :angry_face:
It will be a challenge getting through the next short period avoiding Mr. PP as I am due to do some bookkeeping work for him so the likelihood of avoiding him for the next 136 years will be extremely remote!

Anyway thanks again KP for a job very well done and special congratulations to @bayimports on his stunning late run of form to annex the title from defending champ @Crucial at the very last moment. In case anyone was wondering the TMO has cleared the rumour that his account has been hacked!

Lol, I couldn't maintain my "don't give a shit" picking style. As soon as I started to want to win, I crashed down the rankings. That and I can't pick against Auckland.

Had a good time, thanks for running this @KiwiPie

I did most of my thoughtless tipping every Monday, team lists be damned! only thing I did do consistently was bet against the poo. (lowest scorers) Anyway thanks @KiwiPie for organising and did not expect a win..Think I may have won an NPC tipping comp about 15 years ago..thats how consistent my tipping is Thanks everyone!

@Higgins thanks, nice little write up