TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18

Right scoring all sorted so here we go.

Gunner led all scoring this week picking 6/7 for a total of 45 points. Rico was the only other to 6/7 and he was level with Smudge 3 points behind with Skudderstep the only other player to reach 40.

Fiamacho is the new leader of the "lowest score while tipping every game" list with just 12 points - he only picked the Highlanders and Lions to win. Victor went low with 16 and there were a fair few under 25.

Overall, I'm still out in front, 22 ahead of TR who is 10 ahead of Rico in 3rd. Paj moved into the top 10 and Smudge, Virgil and Gunner rose into the top 20.

Close matches all round with wins for the unbeaten Barbarians, South Island, Blues B and BOP Chiefs. The Canes teams both lost to tumble out of the top 4.

Only 6 matches next weekend so 2 more of those terrible category picks - closest game and team to kick most penalties.

Gunner 45
Rico#1 42
Smudge 42
Skudderstep 40
KP 37
Virgil 37
Crucial 35
FarNthHayden 34
Paj 34
Antipodean 34
Mikedogz 34
Broughie 34
TaniwhaRugby 32
Higgins 32
Winger 32
Barbarian 32
Tim 32
Unite 32
Waynes World 31
Hooroo 31
Corkscrew 29
Langakali 29
Bruce Kenyon 27
JK 27
Bones 27
Cactus Jack 27
Joan and Mary 27
Pauncefote 27
ACT Crusader 26
Donsteppa 26
GT12 26
DK 24
Hurrycanes 24
Richie 24
Sportboy 24
Buck 23
Hydro11 21
Justin77 21
No Quarter 19
Plastered Peni 19
Stockcar86 19
Phooey 19
Triple T 19
Dogmeat 19
Victor 16
Fiamacho 12
KiwiMurph 7
Handsome Ray 7

c'mon tippers, not many have tipped yet this week!!

I have a new strategy. I figure if I don't pick and get 5 less than the worst I'll probably be better off than if I tip

To back up TR's plea here is the link to the form - get tipping

There's some guessing shit in there; most penalties kicked?

@antipodean so you aren't guessing who wins the games too?

@taniwharugby said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@antipodean so you aren't guessing who wins the games too?

Obviously. But more guesses lessens my score!

@antipodean said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

There's some guessing shit in there; most penalties kicked?
I'm open to creative ideas of what to ask when there aren't 7 games in the weekend. Most brainfarts would be a good one although a little subjective in the measuring!

It's been an easy week for picking the winner so far with just one game left. The game with the largest percentage of losers was Canes v Highlanders where 15% picked the men from the south. So being 5/5 is unremarkable as most of us are. Those with the best margin picks are

Winger 42
Fiamacho 39
No Quarter 39
Stockcar86 39
Victor 39

The scores could change a lot on the category picks and the Chiefs were a popular choice for top scorers and a few combined this with the Sunwolves for lowest scorers.

Blues A, Canes Gold and Canes Black have all 5 scoring players with 5/5 so far.

BOP Chiefs 31 - 25 South Island
Blues A 35 - 32 Blues B
Hurricanes Black 35 - 35 Barbarians
Hurricanes Gold 37 - 31 SunJags

And the final game is the upset, and of the 9 who tipped the Jaguares nobody picked the margin. Registering 6/6 were TR, Rico, FarNthHayden, Hooroo, Antipodean, Stockcar86 and Justin77. But the top scorer was Dogmeat, by virtue of picking Chiefs as top scorers, Sunwolves as low scorers and Stormers v Reds as the closest game. (Jaguares kicked the most penalties with 3 - picked only by Rico and Gunner.).

Hooroo was 1 behind Dogmeat on 51 with Winger, Barbarian and Hurrycanes on 47.

Not much change at the top, I lead TR by 20 who is 10 ahead of Rico. Virgil moves into the top 10, Hooroo jumps 16 spots to 13th and Dogmeat 11 places to 32nd. Lowest scorer was Richie with just 20 with Phooey on 22.

2 draws in the league, Barbarians with Canes Black and the also the Blues derby. Comfortable bonus point wins for the high scorers Canes Gold and BOP Chiefs.

Dogmeat 52
Hooroo 51
Winger 47
Barbarian 47
Hurrycanes 47
Stockcar86 46
TaniwhaRugby 44
Rico#1 44
No Quarter 44
Antipodean 44
Victor 44
Broughie 44
KP 42
Higgins 42
Virgil 42
Buck 42
Plastered Peni 41
Justin77 41
Hydro11 40
Bruce Kenyon 40
Mikedogz 40
Gunner 39
JK 39
Fiamacho 39
FarNthHayden 37
Tim 37
Langakali 37
Crucial 37
Paj 34
Bones 34
GT12 34
Triple T 34
DK 32
Waynes World 32
Donsteppa 32
Cactus Jack 32
Unite 30
Sportboy 29
Skudderstep 29
Joan and Mary 29
Corkscrew 27
Pauncefote 27
ACT Crusader 25
Smudge 24
Phooey 22
Richie 20
KiwiMurph 15
Handsome Ray 15

Stat time ...

Rico#1 leads in results picked - winner selected correctly in 27 of 33 games.

Bruce Kenyon still the only one with 2 x 50+ scores.

Barbarians still unbeaten after 5 weeks but 2 draws and no bonus points is preventing them leading. (A team gets a bonus point when they are 3 or more margin picks ahead of their opposition)

It is the TSF Cup this weekend, the ties are as below (based on your score for the previous round). Winners go through plus 8 best losers - a draw means both players go into the losers pot to compete with their total.

Dogmeat 0 v 0 KiwiMurph
Hooroo 0 v 0 Handsome Ray
Winger 0 v 0 Richie
Barbarian 0 v 0 Phooey
Hurrycanes 0 v 0 Smudge
Stockcar86 0 v 0 ACT Crusader
TaniwhaRugby 0 v 0 Corkscrew
Rico#1 0 v 0 Pauncefote
No Quarter 0 v 0 Sportboy
Antipodean 0 v 0 Skudderstep
Victor 0 v 0 Joan and Mary
Broughie 0 v 0 Unite
KP 0 v 0 DK
Higgins 0 v 0 Waynes World
Virgil 0 v 0 Donsteppa
Buck 0 v 0 Cactus Jack
Plastered Peni 0 v 0 Paj
Justin77 0 v 0 Bones
Hydro11 0 v 0 GT12
Bruce Kenyon 0 v 0 Triple T
Mikedogz 0 v 0 FarNthHayden
Gunner 0 v 0 Tim
JK 0 v 0 Langakali
Fiamacho 0 v 0 Crucial

Awesome 1st round draw, I’m only facing off against one of the all time best tippers @Donsteppa

@virgil said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

Awesome 1st round draw, I’m only facing off against one of the all time best tippers @Donsteppa

Good timing - I’m having one of my worst seasons ever

@donsteppa said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@virgil said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

Awesome 1st round draw, I’m only facing off against one of the all time best tippers @Donsteppa

Good timing - I’m having one of my worst seasons ever

He'll struggle to keep his place in the TSF tipping team for the international season - while the winners of the last 3 years (Winger, Hydro, Barbarian) are all around the top, Donsteppa's fall from grace has been mighty .... luckily for him, there are still 2 worst than him in the BOP Chiefs.

The fact that Winger appears fairly prescient in tipping concerns me.

Does this mean I have to consider his conspiracy theory predictions as fairly likely as well?

Get your tips in team

It's a tough week for tipping, moderate scores to date with ...

Chiefs 37%
Canes 96% but not many 17+
Sharks 0%
Waratahs 64%
Bulls 36%

A few have Brumbies as lowest scorers and the Chiefs match as the closest so some points there unless Lions v Crusaders upsets it.

Justin77 and Broughie the only tippers with 4/5 so far. Justin leads with 32 points. Richie is having a stellar week with 0/5 and just 4 points ...

BOP Chiefs 21 - 22 Blues B
Blues A 21 - 22 Hurricanes Gold
Barbarians 17 - 12 SunJags
South Island 16 - 20 Hurricanes Black

@kiwipie "Pull finger"

Been out of the country for a while and haven't heard that in a while.

A low scoring week despite the Crusaders win which was picked by 82% of us although the popular margin pick was 9-16. The Lions took lowest scorers which cost 5 points for a few but earned 5 for Winger.

Winger was top scorer with 46 thanks to his 10 bonus points, ahead of Hydro and Donsteppa who were the only others to make it to 40 points. Justin77 picked 5/6 but no bonus points kept him at 39 - Broughie also was 5/6 but no margins and no bonus points for him.

At the top I had a poor week, so Winger has cut my lead to 9 points. TR had a shocker to fall further back but still holds 3rd. 4th equal are Virgil, Hydro (both climbing a few spots) and Rico.

Plunging out of the top 10 is last season's champion Barbarian who registered a season low score of just 9 points. The only winner he picked was the Hurricanes. Richie saved himself by picking up 10 points from the Crusaders game for a massive total of 14!

The BOP Chiefs forged ahead with a win over Blues B, Donsteppa and Unite the stars with Blues B having to count a 16. The Barbarians stayed unbeaten and stayed in touch despite having a terrible week - Waynes World was absent and their highest score was only 27. Luckily they were playing the SunJags who had Richie and Barbarian with counting scores.

Canes Gold were the top scorers for the week, solid scoring backing up Winger - they beat Blues A who had to count a 17 to undo the good work of J77 and Virgil. A win for Canes Black over the South Island, Hydro the star and the South Island had to count a pair of 21s.

Go to the shared drive to see the TSF Cup results and the draw for the next round.

Winger 46
Hydro11 40
Donsteppa 40
Justin77 39
Unite 39
Virgil 37
DK 36
Hooroo 34
Plastered Peni 34
Broughie 33
No Quarter 32
Bruce Kenyon 32
Buck 32
ACT Crusader 32
Pauncefote 32
Bones 31
Skudderstep 31
Phooey 31
FarNthHayden 29
GT12 29
Cactus Jack 29
Crucial 28
Triple T 27
Antipodean 26
JK 26
Tim 26
Mikedogz 26
Sportboy 26
KP 24
Rico#1 24
Hurrycanes 24
Stockcar86 24
Langakali 24
Paj 22
Higgins 21
Smudge 21
Corkscrew 21
Victor 21
Joan and Mary 21
Fiamacho 17
TaniwhaRugby 16
Gunner 16
Dogmeat 16
Richie 14
Barbarian 9
Waynes World 4
KiwiMurph 4
Handsome Ray 4

haha my lowest of the year and only just lost my TSF Cup match

Tipping time everyone

Excuses in early: Going for a Hail Mary week to catch up.

@antipodean said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

Excuses in early: Going for a Hail Mary week to catch up.

You need some excuse for those picks - not sure why a couple of your team-mates felt the need to do the same.

Everything is updated. Best of the week was Waynes World with 57 despite only getting 5/6 results when most people picked 6/6. The key was 4 correct margins along with having Jaguares as low scorers and the Hurricanes with most penalties. Also 50+ for Crucial and Hydro11. At the other end Corkscrew managed just 19.

At the top, I lead Winger by 11 who is 11 ahead of Hydro with 8 more down to Rico. After being near the top all season, TR fell back to 9th.

Wins for the BOP Chiefs and Barbarians increase their lead at the top with Canes Gold and Blues B the other teams in the top 4. Half-way point in the regular season.

Waynes World 57
Crucial 51
Hydro11 50
DK 49
Joan and Mary 49
Plastered Peni 47
Dogmeat 47
Higgins 45
Hooroo 45
Langakali 45
Richie 45
Stockcar86 44
Cactus Jack 44
KP 42
Rico#1 42
Barbarian 42
Winger 40
Tim 40
Mikedogz 40
Triple T 40
Justin77 39
Donsteppa 39
Bones 39
Unite 39
GT12 39
Broughie 39
Sportboy 39
Fiamacho 39
Paj 38
JK 38
Hurrycanes 37
Bruce Kenyon 37
Gunner 37
Victor 37
FarNthHayden 34
TaniwhaRugby 32
Virgil 32
Pauncefote 31
ACT Crusader 29
Buck 27
No Quarter 24
Smudge 24
Phooey 24
Antipodean 22
Corkscrew 19
Skudderstep 14
KiwiMurph 14
Handsome Ray 14

@antipodean said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

Excuses in early: Going for a Hail Mary week to catch up.

Looks like that hail mary was intercepted and run the length of the field.

@kiwipie I retired 2 weeks back, only seeing out the season, half-hearted of course.

@crucial said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@antipodean said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

Excuses in early: Going for a Hail Mary week to catch up.

Looks like that hail mary was intercepted and run the length of the field.

More like a fumble in our end zone...

Tipping Reminder: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1w-NIzg8BQlGobulwltwJb_73kfRiFW2tzv8fFwrfOng/edit?usp=sharing

Live on the website now. Broughie topped all scorers with a very impressive score of 57 considering he only picked 4/6 results. The ones he did pick were all margin picks and he managed 3/4 category picks. Nobody picked 6/6 and only a few got 5/6, those were Hooroo, Stockcar86, GT12 and Phooey.

Winger is within 8 points of me at the top now, DK has shot up to 3rd after a strong week and hurtling into the top 10 go Stockcar86, Bruce Kenyon and Barbarian.

First defeat of the season for Barbarians but matched by a defeat for the leading BOP Chiefs means that winning teams Blues B, Canes Gold and Cane Black have closed right up - now only 4 points separating the top 5. The 3 lowest teams all look doomed to miss the play-offs without a run of wins from now on.

In the Cup

Dogmeat 29 v 37 Crucial
Hooroo 36 v 27 JK
Winger 34 v 12 Tim
Triple T 27 v 27 Higgins
GT12 39 v 46 DK
Cactus Jack 26 v 36 Hydro11
Bones 34 v 32 Justin77
Broughie 57 v 27 Virgil

Broughie 57
Stockcar86 50
Skudderstep 47
DK 46
Phooey 44
Barbarian 42
Victor 42
Bruce Kenyon 41
GT12 39
Smudge 39
Paj 37
Crucial 37
Gunner 37
Antipodean 37
Fiamacho 37
Hydro11 36
Hooroo 36
Joan and Mary 36
Donsteppa 35
Winger 34
Hurrycanes 34
Langakali 34
Bones 34
Justin77 32
No Quarter 32
KP 31
Waynes World 31
Richie 31
Sportboy 30
Plastered Peni 29
Buck 29
Dogmeat 29
Rico#1 27
Higgins 27
Virgil 27
FarNthHayden 27
JK 27
Unite 27
Triple T 27
TaniwhaRugby 26
Cactus Jack 26
Pauncefote 26
Mikedogz 24
ACT Crusader 22
Corkscrew 17
Tim 12
KiwiMurph 12
Handsome Ray 12

Time to tip once more

Most scores around the 40 mark this weekend. Best was 53 for Phooey, the only one to pick 7/7 results backing the Aussies to continue being terrible was a sound policy. Winger has cut my lead to just 5, and 6 back from him is Hydro on the back of 4 margin picks.

The bottom 3 on the ladder all won to close the table right up - Canes Black beat the BOP Chiefs with a bonus point to take over from them at the top on most points scored.

Crucial 41 v 39 Broughie
Hooroo 43 v 44 Bones
Winger 44 v 47 Hydro11
Triple T 39 v 33 DK

Phooey 53
Hydro11 47
Barbarian 46
Joan and Mary 46
Winger 44
Hurrycanes 44
Bones 44
Smudge 44
Skudderstep 44
Fiamacho 44
Pauncefote 44
Hooroo 43
Bruce Kenyon 43
Richie 42
KP 41
Donsteppa 41
FarNthHayden 41
Crucial 41
JK 41
Victor 41
Waynes World 40
Plastered Peni 39
TaniwhaRugby 39
Justin77 39
Broughie 39
GT12 39
Dogmeat 39
Tim 39
Cactus Jack 39
Triple T 39
Stockcar86 38
Corkscrew 38
Antipodean 37
ACT Crusader 36
Higgins 35
Langakali 35
Virgil 34
Paj 34
Unite 34
DK 33
Gunner 33
Buck 33
No Quarter 32
Sportboy 31
Rico#1 26
Mikedogz 19
KiwiMurph 14
Handsome Ray 14

Tipping time

It's raining so you get an early update this weekend. If you think you're racing ahead with 2/2 maximums, calm your farm as that is not uncommon. In being late and not turning up at all news, Hooroo and ACT were late and Tim hasn't arrived at all.

BOP Chiefs 16 - 19 Barbarians
Blues A 19 - 16 SunJags
Blues B 18 - 17 South Island
Hurricanes Gold 18 - 19 Hurricanes Black

TSL Cup Semis

Crucial 20 v 20 Triple T
Bones 20 v 17 Hydro11

All updated now. The category picks were profitable for some this weekend, Langakali picked all 4 for 20 points which made up for some average tipping. Bones had 2 category picks to go with 5 maximum point tips and the season high of 62 - it launches him into the top 10 overall and into the final of the TSL Cup to play Triple T.

Nobody picked 6/6 this weekend with the Reds win stumping most but there were a few 5/6 and the margin picks were crucial to a good score - Hurrycanes was 2nd best with 57 and up to 4th overall, Dogmeat and Triple T scored 54.

Overall, Winger has finally overhauled me at the top by a point after closing the gap each week - Hydro11 is a further 10 points back in third.

Canes Black stay top on the team comp with a solid win over Canes Gold, the Barbarians thrashed a woeful BOP Chiefs to be right behind them and Blues B are now in 3rd - the other win was for Blues A who are 6th but can still make the top 4.

Bones 62
Hurrycanes 57
Dogmeat 54
Triple T 54
Bruce Kenyon 52
Donsteppa 52
Rico#1 52
Joan and Mary 52
Higgins 51
Langakali 51
Winger 49
Justin77 49
Virgil 49
Broughie 49
Smudge 49
Victor 47
Hydro11 44
Stockcar86 44
TaniwhaRugby 44
FarNthHayden 44
Crucial 44
JK 44
Gunner 44
Phooey 44
Pauncefote 44
KP 43
Paj 43
Waynes World 43
ACT Crusader 42
DK 41
Plastered Peni 41
Buck 41
Skudderstep 41
Corkscrew 41
Barbarian 39
Sportboy 39
No Quarter 38
Richie 38
Fiamacho 37
Unite 36
GT12 33
Antipodean 33
Hooroo 31
Cactus Jack 31
Mikedogz 25
Tim 20
KiwiMurph 20
Handsome Ray 20

I find the fact that Winger is leading this comp extremely disconcerting.

We are getting to the business end of the season (from a tipping viewpoint)

Jesus it's coming down to the wire with triple t! Oh the anxiety.

Damn you bulls.

@bones damn you Highlanders...expect a low scoring round

@taniwharugby said in TSF Super Rugby Tipping 2018 http://bit.do/tsf18:

@bones damn you Highlanders...expect a low scoring round

Somewhere in the range of low scores to very very low scores