Tipping 2020

just put my tips in...a bit late, still nil all

Crap, forgot to tip.

@Tim do it anyway, game still tied!!

The results are in. South Island crushed Harbour-Auckland to reach the final with consistency through the whole team and a lowest score of 34. H-A had 4 tippers below 30 in a disastrous choke for the minor premier winners. Smudge and Kiwiwomble the best scorers and South Island will play Northland in the final after they drew 31-31 with BOP but won as the actual score was 31.4 to 31. Justin77 and TR scored well for Northland and Sportboy and Bay Imports for BOP but just 16 from the usual star Cactus Jack did for BOP.

In the race for the individual title, Caprice shot into the lead with the weekend's top score of 46 (also scored by Stockcar86 who was the only tipper with 6/7). She now leads by 6 from former leader Dice with Broughie up to 3rd with Hydro11 a point further back. 1st to 21st is only a spread of 34 points and with the unpredictable results taking place, it is possible to make up that sort of margin over the final 2 weeks.

Higgins took a commanding 42-30 lead after the first leg of the TSF Cup Final.

@KiwiPie really wish i didn't miss a week

@Kiwiwomble said in Tipping 2020:

@KiwiPie really wish i didn't miss a week

Yep, hard to win if you give a week away in a 10 week competition.

@KiwiPie It’s hard to win without forgetting a week

A late reminder this week - 2 and a half hours to tip

Everything is updated at https://www.thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Northland and South Island drew 29-29 in the first leg of their final so all to play for next weekend. TR and Richie passed 30 for Northland, Corkscrew, Broughie and Phooey for South Island but they had to include Kruse's 22.

Individually, Dice and Sportboy tied with 44 points, they picked 5/7 in a tricky week (as did Virgil) and both picking BOP which only 4 did in total. Similarly only 2 went for Southland and just one for Canterbury (surprisingly that was Phooey!)

Dice has shot into the lead now 13 points clear of Broughie with Sportboy a point back and Winger, Caprice and Higgins within 20 of the lead. With so much riding on the games next weekend, it looks like being another tough one so a large lead can be whittled back.

Finally Higgins won the TSF Cup comfortably by 15 points with Langakali runner-up.

@kiwipie Has the league and cup double ever been done? I can feel a big one coming up from me after this last week's miserly 27 points!

@KiwiPie have i done my tips this week?

@Kiwiwomble

@Higgins said in Tipping 2020:

@kiwipie Has the league and cup double ever been done? I can feel a big one coming up from me after this last week's miserly 27 points!

Propsicle in NPC 2013 and Joan and Mary in NPC 2016 did the double. Nobody has ever retained the cup in NPC until you did it in 2019 and 2020.

It's that time again for the final time in 2020.

Here's the top 10

and the finals for the team events after the 1st leg

I'd be happy with a 32-31 for BOP over Harbour on Sunday afternoon.

@KiwiPie I couldn’t remember if I’d submitted my tips for this week, so if I had earlier please disregard the 1st one and take this latest one as my tips Thanks Again.

just put my tips in...just checked score, nil all...sweet

@taniwharugby said in Tipping 2020:

just put my tips in...just checked score, nil all...sweet

Sorry too late .... rules are rules etc

Update after game 1 - the current top 10 and the match aggregate scores. Dice's lead just 6 over Sportboy and 9 ahead of Winger.

1 Dice 2 374
2 Sportboy 10 368
3 Winger 10 365
4 Higgins 10 362
5 Broughie 2 361
5 Hydro11 10 361
7 Stargazer 10 359
8 Triple T 10 357
9 Caprice 2 356
10 Tim 2 352
10 Stockcar86 10 352

Final South Island 33 - 34 Northland
3rd BOP 40 - 37 Harbour-Auckland
Plate Hawke's Bay 39 - 37 Wairarapa Bush
7th Wellington 38 - 23 Counties-Waikato

1 Dice 22 394
2 Sportboy 29 387
3 Winger 30 385
4 Higgins 30 382
5 Hydro11 30 381
6 Stargazer 30 379
7 Broughie 19 378
8 Justin77 32 371
9 Tim 19 369
9 Triple T 22 369

Final South Island 50 - 52 Northland
3rd BOP 56 - 53 Harbour-Auckland
Plate Hawke's Bay 55 - 53 Wairarapa Bush
7th Wellington 56 - 33 Counties-Waikato

It's all over and Dice managed to hang on to win by a single point from Higgins and Winger, by 2 from Hydro11 and by 5 from Broughie. I can't remember a closer leaderboard at the end of a season. https://www.thesilverfern.com/tipping/

All the scores over 60 came in the final week of the season as many went big on Sunday nailing 30/30 and many also getting Manawatu as low scorers. Despite being in prime position to challenge at the end of Saturday, Sportboy somehow finished 9th!

Justin77 managed a full 7/7 but others were better on margins - both Higgins and Hydro11 getting 6 out of 6 for the games they picked correctly.

Northland win the title beating South Island by 5 points - a lot of it due to Northland's win over Waikato which they backed more than South Island did. But mainly it was due to Justin77's stellar score.

I'll do more of a wrap a bit later on.

@KiwiPie congrats to Dice and thanks Kiwipie.

@KiwiPie awesome as always KP...I shoulda had more faith in my team!!

Thanks again for running the competition, @KiwiPie!

@KiwiPie Thanks for running the comp, woohoo I made it to 21st got to reward mediocrity

Thank @KiwiPie . Brilliantly run once again.

thanks @KiwiPie

other than your unreasonable expectation we get picks in every week on time it was well run

Appreciate your work @KiwiPie

Some NPC Tipping Stats to keep you going until tipping starts up again in late summer

Average finishing positions in NPC Tipping (minimum 4 seasons)

Best percentage of top 10 finishes in NPC Tipping

Best percentage of top 3 finishes in NPC Tipping

Most seasons without a top 10 finish
10 Waynes World & Richie

And finally for this edition - players to appear in every season of NPC Tipping (since 2006) - ordered by their average finishing position.
Donsteppa 14.5
Justin77 15.1
TR 19.4
Hooroo 19.8
Dogmeat 23.0
DK 24.2
Joan and Mary 24.3

There are 10 players who have only missed 1 season, 6 of those missed the very first season.
Sportboy 25.2

And for those who took part in Superbru - obviously this competition has a much fairer scoring system!

@KiwiPie You weren't looking so good with less than ten minutes to go though! Anyway congratulations on having the foresight to pick Ta$man, it got you home at the top of the field so an inspired pick from you. Thanks again for your efforts in running your tipping contests, it is so unique having the individual and team aspect to it.

I don't put much thought into Superbru and I do better :man_shrugging:

@Higgins it was a hunch as was picking the Taniwha for the semi - them's the breaks

@mikedogz In Superbru, it is very difficult to score for margins so getting results correct is crucial. In KP's tipping, getting the correct margin range is much more important

@KiwiPie Do you have a stat that shows who makes the most upward movement from week one to the finish. I am sure I would be top ten there.

@KiwiPie I'd completely overlooked your Taniwha selection and you going that way opened the door for me to sneak through close to the end. Alas it was not to be.................

oh I forgot all about that comp for the 2nd half of it I think...no surprises I came last then!

@taniwharugby said in Tipping 2020:

oh I forgot all about that comp for the 2nd half of it I think...no surprises I came last then!

missing one week (and generally poor choices) was enough to be near the bottom

@broughie said in Tipping 2020:

@KiwiPie Do you have a stat that shows who makes the most upward movement from week one to the finish. I am sure I would be top ten there.

On which comp? Superbru or the real TSF Tipping?

@KiwiPie The real TSF tipping of course. What other comp is there?

@broughie You were 34th after week 1 and never lower than 14th in any week after that. Higgins was 37th after week 1 and didn't reach the top 20 until week 4. In contrast Dice was 6th after week 1 and then no lower than 2nd for the rest of the weeks.