TSF Super Tipping 2023

antipodean

@Dan54 said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Ok just done my picks and can say no confidence at all thsi week. A few picks with heart and not head but c'est la vie!

You've just described my technique.

KiwiPie

Results are up and next week's form is live

No real change at the top as the top 3 scored 58 or 59 - 59 was the top score achieved by Winger, DK, Machpants and Dan54. Plenty picked 6/6 for results yet BorderJB managed just 2/6 and the week's low of 21. Winger moves above Hydro11 into 2nd but still 30 points behind Higgins. 6 more weeks of tipping, the 5 weeks of the regular season plus the quarter-finals. 2 more weeks of round robin for teams to play and then there will be 2 leg semis and finals.

Barbarians beat BOP Chiefs in the top of the table clash meaning their playing records are the same but the Chiefs lead through grabbing more bonus points (an attacking bonus point is picking 3+ more margin picks than the opposition). Canes Gold beat Canes Black to move above them and wins for the SunJags and Blues B keep them in contention for a top 4 finish. The Cup quarter-finalists are decided.

The success rate for tipping is almost 90% for results and almost 50% for margins - 4 seasons ago only one tipper was better than 70% and only 2 tippers over 30% for margins. Definitely a much more predictable season.

KiwiPie

The results are in and next week's form is live. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

The gap at the top has been halved with Hydro11 top scorer of the week with 49 and Higgins only getting 31. The lead is now just 13 points with 5 weeks to go. Nobody managed 6/6 with the Drua and Waratahs wins unexpected. Next best scores were 46 for Rico#1 and Nevorian.

The Sequel Cup semis are between Tim & Chimoaus and Sportboy & Hydro11.

With one round left, the 4 into the play-offs are decided with BOP Chiefs & Barbarians left to battle it out for top spot and Canes Gold and Black for 3rd and 4th.

KiwiPie

Everything is up to date at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best of the weekend was Dolamite with 50 points. Nobody picked the Reds to win and nobody picked Blues as low scorer or Chiefs v Reds as closest game so scoring was lower. Quite a few had the Canes as top scorer and largest victory for 10 category points.

Higgins extends his lead at the top to 18 with 4 weeks left to play. The top 4 remain in the same positions.

The round robin section is complete for the teams comp with BOP Chiefs the minor premiers. This was confirmed when Canes Black beat Barbarians to earn themselves a semi-final against the same team.

The final of the cup is between Tim and Sportboy - 2 legs over the next 2 weekends.

Higgins

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Everything is up to date at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best of the weekend was Dolamite with 50 points. Nobody picked the Reds to win and nobody picked Blues as low scorer or Chiefs v Reds as closest game so scoring was lower. Quite a few had the Canes as top scorer and largest victory for 10 category points.

Higgins extends his lead at the top to 18 with 4 weeks left to play. The top 4 remain in the same positions.

The round robin section is complete for the teams comp with BOP Chiefs the minor premiers. This was confirmed when Canes Black beat Barbarians to earn themselves a semi-final against the same team.

The final of the cup is between Tim and Sportboy - 2 legs over the next 2 weekends.

Despite the Barbarians being comfortably the leading team for points scored for they also have the leakiest defence as the team conceding the most points (although there is not much you can do about that). At least it makes for exciting fixtures!

Higgins

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Everything is up to date at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best of the weekend was Dolamite with 50 points. Nobody picked the Reds to win and nobody picked Blues as low scorer or Chiefs v Reds as closest game so scoring was lower. Quite a few had the Canes as top scorer and largest victory for 10 category points.

Higgins extends his lead at the top to 18 with 4 weeks left to play. The top 4 remain in the same positions.

The round robin section is complete for the teams comp with BOP Chiefs the minor premiers. This was confirmed when Canes Black beat Barbarians to earn themselves a semi-final against the same team. 😧

The final of the cup is between Tim and Sportboy - 2 legs over the next 2 weekends.

Despite the Barbarians being comfortably the leading team for points scored for they also have the leakiest defence as the team conceding the most points (although there is not much you can do about that). At least it makes for exciting fixtures!

I would like to apologise to my fellow Hurricanes Black teammates for being a suitcase and thank you for carrying me 😂

Winger

Hurricanes Gold were missing two players this week.

@Canes4life has been out for some time. Hopefully he can make it back for the next 3 or 4 weeks. Initially to make the semi's edit to win the first round of the semi and then to help in the 2nd round and maybe even the final

@Machpants was also missing. Unusual as he usually tips

Dan54

So do I take it those of us not in Semi teams get rest of season off?

KiwiPie

These are the play-off games this weekend - 2 legged affairs

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The Barbarians are 4 time champions, the BOP Chiefs have never won the title but have been runners-up 4 times. Both Canes Black and Canes Gold have 2 titles each.

Winger

@Dan54 and there is still the individual competition that runs for the next 3 or 4 weeks

Winger

@KiwiPie what year did it start. I remember the canes won the first year it was held but can't remember winning it again.

And never realized its already into the finals (should read KPs posts more carefully). Over 2 rounds for the semi's and I assume 1 or 2 rounds for the finals.

Crucial

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Both Canes Black and Canes Gold have 2 titles each.

Despite the fact that I can't get out of Canes Gold. Any good record they have is with my handicap.

dogmeat

@Winger It started in 2006 I remember doing the first round of tips from Melbourne where I was watching the Comm games

Winger

@Crucial you're doing well this year. And this last week doesn't matter as we were certain to make the top 4.

Hopefully the full team including @Canes4life make it this coming week.

@Winger said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Hurricanes Gold were missing two players this week.

@Canes4life has been out for some time. Hopefully he can make it back for the next 3 or 4 weeks. Initially to make the semi's edit to win the first round of the semi and then to help in the 2nd round and maybe even the final

@Machpants was also missing. Unusual as he usually tips

I went to the page and it was all filled in for me? So I didn't tip. Weird

EDIT Same this week the first 3 games already have tips in them, so last week I thought I must've already tipped. Not sure why the buttons are already clicked for the first 3 games. Shit tips too

Higgins

@Machpants In order to see if your tips have gone through you need to go to the "Have I Tipped" tab and then scroll right through to the bottom of the spreadsheet as the lastest are always tacked onto the end.

KiwiPie

@Machpants If you mean the "Have I tipped" spreadsheet, then as Higgins says, all of the latest tips are appended to the end. And because we have used the same form for all 12 weeks then the spreadsheet now looks a bit weird as we dropped from 6 to 4 games in a weekend and then back up to 6.

Duluth

@KiwiPie

Wow Hooroo won?

Eventually I make an area to store this TSF info. Tipping comp history, teams of the year etc etc

KiwiPie

@Duluth Great idea - I have enough stats for both Super and NPC tipping.

Quite a few names on the list who no longer compete but also a fair few who play every year. Interesting how the current top 6 all feature heavily in the top 3 spots over the years. 5 of the 6 are previous winners and Tim has been second 3 times.

Tim

I would've picked the same margin etc for Crusaders anyway, so my tip should count. Even is it was 13 minutes late.

Higgins

My accidentally tipping a home 17+ win tonight will not help me in the race for the title!!!!!! That will teach me for doing my tips in a hurray and not checking. Maybe KP will apply an "obvious error" rule considering I tipped Crusaders as the highest scoring team, MP for the lowest and change it to an away 17+ but I doubt it! At least I might still scramble the five points if the match in question turns out to be the widest margin.

Winger

@Higgins

I've done this a few times over the years. I saw someone had tipped MP. If I knew it was you I would have mentioned it . And good luck with your obvious error appeal to kiwipie.

KiwiPie

@Higgins Sorry I have to take what you tipped - at least it makes the title race more exciting.

KiwiPie

Results are up and next week's form is live. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

No real damage for Higgins with his errant Crusaders pick as he scored the same as Hydro11 so the lead remains at 18. No change at all to the top 6. Best of the weekend was Langakali, Duluth, Antipodean & Victor, all with 57. Nearly everyone tipped 5/6 as nobody at all picked the Force win.

In the Sequel Cup, Tim leads Sportboy by just a point so all to play for in the second leg.

The first leg of the play-offs and plate went according to form and BOP Chiefs & Barbarians are on course for a big showdown in the final although their first leg leads are not massive.

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Kruse

I'm 16th out of 26,000 in the fucking WORLD on SuperBru... but I'd swap it all to be in the running for the TSF championship.
(#ThinlyDisguisedBrag)

KiwiPie

@Kruse Impressive - I'm second in our pool and I'm mighty pleased with that

KiwiPie


A good week to pick scorelines, many scored 6/6 results. Category picks were much harder though and the top score was only 52 for both Duluth and Dan54. 51 for Kruse, Waynes World & Dogmeat. Hydro11 closed the gap by 3 more points so Higgins now leads by 15 with 2 rounds left. Winger 6 behind Hydro11 in third and Tim another 5 back. Bartman blasted himself out of the top 10 by scoring only 10 - either he was using the wrong form or he was going for the miracle catch-up play.

Tim wins the Sequel Cup by just a point over Sportboy.

No change in the second legs of the play-offs so BOP Chiefs and Barbarians will meet in the final over the next 2 weekends.

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Kruse

SuperBru - I've clawed up to 12th in the WORLD, and 10th in NZ.
Which made me check - rugby predictions are mirroring the actual results:
NZ-based accounts make up ~37% of those in the SuperBru Super-Rugby-Pacific Predictor 'game' - but 90% of the top 30-placed.
Australia... that's fucking embarrassing. <insert gif of Letterkenny Irish Coach >

BartMan

Did my tips not go through KP?

CLAN 1-8
Brumbies 1-8
Rebels 1-8
Hurricanes 1-8
Crusaders 17+
Drua 17+

None of my margin picks even close, damn you Moana!