TSF Super Tipping 2023

Results are in https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/ and next weekend's form is live. Curious half points dotted around the leaderboard now with the 1.5 multiplier in action.

Categories were tricky to get but both Duluth and Rico#1 picked 3/4 - but the massive score they should have had was ruined by picking wins for the Reds and Highlanders respectively. Nearly the whole top 20 picked all the match results but Tim was top scorer with 57.5 with 3 margins out of 4. Tim shoots up to 2nd but still 22.5 behind Higgins who lost a bit of ground to most of the chasers.

The Cup final is between Winger and Dolamite. We will make this over a single weekend and you also need to be in the top 32 this weekend to make the next Cup draw.

The BOP Chiefs won again with a bonus point to go 4 clear of Barbarians who are 1 ahead of Canes Black. Game of the round was a 50-50 draw between Blues B and Canes Gold.

Missing tippers in recent weeks are @justin77, Fiamacho, @Nevorian @Canes4life - for the SunJags, both Kruse & Joan and Mary took the default score for late tips. (merciful for Kruse as the tips he did put in were so bad)

@Kruse Stop your whining man

I missed the first week and a bit because it was what passed for high summer and my thoughts are all wood on willow not fucking footy.

At least it gave me a bona fide excuse for my low ranking rather than just being shit.

In my defence, I think the last time I actually watched a Super Rugby game Henry was the AB coach.

@Kruse said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Kruse said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Fuck. Stupid goddamn christian holiday.
First - great, I get to go for a ride, nice. Mokau for whitebait, and Whangamomona for some service surcharge price-gouging... 20% surcharge, when the only staff on duty are the owners.
Then - I suddenly remember that I can't buy 'offie' booze, and I have only 2 cans of beer in the fridge. Fuck.
Then - I finally come across this thread... and realise that my reminders for tipping are on my work laptop... and I haven't done shit about tipping until halfway through the first game.
Fuck you Jesus.

Hoping for a resurrection from the rest of your tips?

Again - Fuck you Jesus.
But... yeah.
Also - fucked up today's planned riding by spending the entire morning in the fucking shitstorm of every other fluffybunny who also went to the supermarket... just so I could stock up on booze in preparation for tomorrow's stupid goddamn religious-persecution liquor-laws.

Were you spending your Easter in Ta$man?

There were a shitload of lightning strikes - and a tornado - hunting for someone!

@dogmeat said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Kruse Stop your whining man

I missed the first week and a bit because it was what passed for high summer and my thoughts are all wood on willow not fucking footy.

At least it gave me a bona fide excuse for my low ranking rather than just being shit.

In my defence, I think the last time I actually watched a Super Rugby game Henry was the AB coach.

I stumbled across a screenshot I had of when I was second in the goddamn WORLD on some tipping comp - RugbyPass, I think... maybe a 6-Nations thing, or World Cup? Dunno.
Ever since I reached those heights, maybe I've taken it a little too seriously.
Should indeed accept that I'm likely to be shit... as I actually know less than fuck-all about Super Rugby. Except that Henry hasn't coached the ABs for a while... I know that. Because of every fucking thread about the current and "NEXT" (not yet "new") coaches.

And to be honest - I was more upset about the stupid fucking liquor licensing laws around a religious holiday, rather than the tipping comp. Sure... Jesus happened to die for somebody's sins around the Equinox... but not mine.

@Kruse said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

I was more upset about the stupid fucking liquor licensing laws around a religious holiday

Totally anachronistic to be sure. There seemed to be way more cafe's open up here than previously. A majority I would say.

My local had a sign up that you were asked to read aloud - "I am here for the express purpose of dining".

Once you read it you were asked if you would like a drink while you decided what you would like to eat - and to take as long as you liked deciding.

@dogmeat said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Kruse said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

I was more upset about the stupid fucking liquor licensing laws around a religious holiday

Totally anachronistic to be sure. There seemed to be way more cafe's open up here than previously. A majority I would say.

My local had a sign up that you were asked to read aloud - "I am here for the express purpose of dining".

Once you read it you were asked if you would like a drink while you decided what you would like to eat - and to take as long as you liked deciding.

Nice.
The different behaviour around the 'Naki was notable.
Whangamomona - yeah, we're just doing hot chips - so buy some chips, have a beer. And upon going back to the bar for a 2nd, they hesitated, and I explained I was still "making my way through my meal".
Shining Peak Brewery - yeah, you need to have a meal, and not just "chips"... also - you must order food now, before I can get you a beer. But as a regular - chicken-bites will do. Also - offered to sneak a free takeaway can into my pocket upon leaving.
43 Brewing - got there just as kitchen closed, but again... a regular, so... we'll do you some hot chips, and that'll be enough.

@Kruse You a regular at 43 Brewing in Stratford? Where I get all rugby watching beers from, one of the good places for a beer!

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

The Cup final is between Winger and Dolamite.

How were the points calculated for the semi?
I got more than my score for the week. I think

@Dan54 said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Kruse You a regular at 43 Brewing in Stratford? Where I get all rugby watching beers from, one of the good places for a beer!

Yeah - I don't know how I started getting considered a regular.
I'd stop in every time I was passing through, in their old premises - travelling through to visit family in NP. Maybe 4 times in total, over a couple years?
Then nearly a year later, first time I get to visit the new location - and the bar manager recognises me, and greets me like a regular.
And for the last two summers or so - I've spent a heap of time up here... looking after the grandfather - and will typically drop in at 43 on the way back from a ride out to Whanga. They now automatically start a tab when I walk in.

@Winger said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

The Cup final is between Winger and Dolamite.

How were the points calculated for the semi?
I got more than my score for the week. I think

Kudos to Winger for his honesty as he has just removed himself from the final of the Cup - I was linking to the wrong column on my spreadsheet and the final is actually between the other 2 players - Laurence and Langakali.

@Kruse said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Dan54 said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Kruse You a regular at 43 Brewing in Stratford? Where I get all rugby watching beers from, one of the good places for a beer!

Yeah - I don't know how I started getting considered a regular.
I'd stop in every time I was passing through, in their old premises - travelling through to visit family in NP. Maybe 4 times in total, over a couple years?
Then nearly a year later, first time I get to visit the new location - and the bar manager recognises me, and greets me like a regular.
And for the last two summers or so - I've spent a heap of time up here... looking after the grandfather - and will typically drop in at 43 on the way back from a ride out to Whanga. They now automatically start a tab when I walk in.

Lol yep, the first time in theold place me and brother-in-law had a few beers out in garden bar, our Mrs's came in lookingm and then next time I went in about a month later was told stright as soon as I stuck head in door if I headed out back wife would be sent other way. Love the place, almost like old style pubs where they remember you properly.

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Winger said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

The Cup final is between Winger and Dolamite.

How were the points calculated for the semi?
I got more than my score for the week. I think

Kudos to Winger for his honesty as he has just removed himself from the final of the Cup - I was linking to the wrong column on my spreadsheet and the final is actually between the other 2 players - Laurence and Langakali.

I think you’ve added some of my missing points to Winger’s….

Get your tips in NOW! I mean NOW! Because the game is in Samoa, the Moana Pasifika v Reds game starts at 4.05pm NZ time.

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Get your tips in NOW! I mean NOW! Because the game is in Samoa, the Moana Pasifika v Reds game starts at 4.05pm NZ time.

View embedded content

sssh

You've just destroyed my only chance of doing OK this round.

Every game is a coin toss for me

@dogmeat said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Every game is a coin toss for me

is that different to how you tip normally?

Results are up at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Dan54 with the season best's score of 70.5, almost perfect except for missing the margin for the Waratahs game and having Waratahs as top scorers rather than Brumbies. Langakali 62 and all 4 category picks correct. At the other end of the scale, a season low of 7.5 for Corkscrew which meant that all non-tippers scored just 2.5.

Higgins increased his lead to 31 with Bartman and Winger in joint 2nd. Donsteppa and Crucial move into the top 10.

Langakali wins the Cup, Laurence failed to show making it a 62-2.5 final score. The Sequel Cup starts next weekend, top 32 scores of this weekend are in.

The unluckiest team in the comp is Blues B, for the second week running they were equal top scorers but were playing against the other top scorer. BOP Chiefs, Canes Black, Barbarians look comfortable as the top 3 with Canes Gold and SunJags battling it out for the 4th spot.

@Canes4life hasn't tipped for some time. Team might need you this week

Tips are due https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

@KiwiPie 10 or 20%?

Results are in and form for next week is live. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best score for the weekend was Kruse with a new season high of 71 points. 20/20 for category picks, 4/4 picks for games and margin missed for Crusaders and Force wins. Rico#1 with 66 and Duluth 63 the next best. No huge change at the top and Higgins still leads by 31 overall with Winger and Hydro11 level in 2nd, Tim in 4th and Bartman dropping down to 5th.

Wins for BOP Chiefs and Barbarians mean they are almost certain for the play-offs, Canes Black and Gold clear in 3rd and 4th.

The Sequel Cup started with the top 32 from last week going into the draw. All ties decided except Winger and Triple T go into a replay.

@KiwiPie Looks like Barbarians also got a team record with 57? I look forward to the top of the table clash this weekend.

Tricky tipping this week

@chimoaus said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@KiwiPie Looks like Barbarians also got a team record with 57? I look forward to the top of the table clash this weekend.

Yes tough clash for us - need some of the weak links in our team (me for example) to step up

Is there a problem with the 'check my tips spreadsheet? It is only showing 4 games for me.

@Crucial said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Is there a problem with the 'check my tips spreadsheet? It is only showing 4 games for me.

The columns are weird with the changes to the form (down to 4 games then back up to 6) but all the data is being recorded (if you go the right of the spreadsheet)

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@Crucial said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Is there a problem with the 'check my tips spreadsheet? It is only showing 4 games for me.

The columns are weird with the changes to the form (down to 4 games then back up to 6) but all the data is being recorded (if you go the right of the spreadsheet)

Cheers just wanted to flag it just in case

Ok just done my picks and can say no confidence at all thsi week. A few picks with heart and not head but c'est la vie!

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@chimoaus said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

@KiwiPie Looks like Barbarians also got a team record with 57? I look forward to the top of the table clash this weekend.

Yes tough clash for us - need some of the weak links in our team (me for example) to step up

Or not, as for my team's chances!

@Dan54 said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Ok just done my picks and can say no confidence at all thsi week. A few picks with heart and not head but c'est la vie!

You've just described my technique.

Your regular Friday reminder to get tipping - 6 games again this week which is much better for everyone https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Results are up and next week's form is live

No real change at the top as the top 3 scored 58 or 59 - 59 was the top score achieved by Winger, DK, Machpants and Dan54. Plenty picked 6/6 for results yet BorderJB managed just 2/6 and the week's low of 21. Winger moves above Hydro11 into 2nd but still 30 points behind Higgins. 6 more weeks of tipping, the 5 weeks of the regular season plus the quarter-finals. 2 more weeks of round robin for teams to play and then there will be 2 leg semis and finals.

Barbarians beat BOP Chiefs in the top of the table clash meaning their playing records are the same but the Chiefs lead through grabbing more bonus points (an attacking bonus point is picking 3+ more margin picks than the opposition). Canes Gold beat Canes Black to move above them and wins for the SunJags and Blues B keep them in contention for a top 4 finish. The Cup quarter-finalists are decided.

The success rate for tipping is almost 90% for results and almost 50% for margins - 4 seasons ago only one tipper was better than 70% and only 2 tippers over 30% for margins. Definitely a much more predictable season.

Tipping reminder https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit

The results are in and next week's form is live. https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

The gap at the top has been halved with Hydro11 top scorer of the week with 49 and Higgins only getting 31. The lead is now just 13 points with 5 weeks to go. Nobody managed 6/6 with the Drua and Waratahs wins unexpected. Next best scores were 46 for Rico#1 and Nevorian.

The Sequel Cup semis are between Tim & Chimoaus and Sportboy & Hydro11.

With one round left, the 4 into the play-offs are decided with BOP Chiefs & Barbarians left to battle it out for top spot and Canes Gold and Black for 3rd and 4th.

Regular reminder to remember to tip https://thesilverfern.com/tipping-submit/

Everything is up to date at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best of the weekend was Dolamite with 50 points. Nobody picked the Reds to win and nobody picked Blues as low scorer or Chiefs v Reds as closest game so scoring was lower. Quite a few had the Canes as top scorer and largest victory for 10 category points.

Higgins extends his lead at the top to 18 with 4 weeks left to play. The top 4 remain in the same positions.

The round robin section is complete for the teams comp with BOP Chiefs the minor premiers. This was confirmed when Canes Black beat Barbarians to earn themselves a semi-final against the same team.

The final of the cup is between Tim and Sportboy - 2 legs over the next 2 weekends.

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Everything is up to date at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best of the weekend was Dolamite with 50 points. Nobody picked the Reds to win and nobody picked Blues as low scorer or Chiefs v Reds as closest game so scoring was lower. Quite a few had the Canes as top scorer and largest victory for 10 category points.

Higgins extends his lead at the top to 18 with 4 weeks left to play. The top 4 remain in the same positions.

The round robin section is complete for the teams comp with BOP Chiefs the minor premiers. This was confirmed when Canes Black beat Barbarians to earn themselves a semi-final against the same team.

The final of the cup is between Tim and Sportboy - 2 legs over the next 2 weekends.

Despite the Barbarians being comfortably the leading team for points scored for they also have the leakiest defence as the team conceding the most points (although there is not much you can do about that). At least it makes for exciting fixtures!

@KiwiPie said in TSF Super Tipping 2023:

Everything is up to date at https://thesilverfern.com/tipping/

Best of the weekend was Dolamite with 50 points. Nobody picked the Reds to win and nobody picked Blues as low scorer or Chiefs v Reds as closest game so scoring was lower. Quite a few had the Canes as top scorer and largest victory for 10 category points.

Higgins extends his lead at the top to 18 with 4 weeks left to play. The top 4 remain in the same positions.

The round robin section is complete for the teams comp with BOP Chiefs the minor premiers. This was confirmed when Canes Black beat Barbarians to earn themselves a semi-final against the same team.

The final of the cup is between Tim and Sportboy - 2 legs over the next 2 weekends.

Despite the Barbarians being comfortably the leading team for points scored for they also have the leakiest defence as the team conceding the most points (although there is not much you can do about that). At least it makes for exciting fixtures!

I would like to apologise to my fellow Hurricanes Black teammates for being a suitcase and thank you for carrying me

Hurricanes Gold were missing two players this week.

@Canes4life has been out for some time. Hopefully he can make it back for the next 3 or 4 weeks. Initially to make the semi's edit to win the first round of the semi and then to help in the 2nd round and maybe even the final

@Machpants was also missing. Unusual as he usually tips

So do I take it those of us not in Semi teams get rest of season off?